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*** THE ALIYAH REVOLUTION ALBUM ***

Sunday, February 01, 2004

Deterrence


The JPost reports that Hamas is announcing its intentions to kidnap soldiers in order to secure the release of their prisoners. We knew we were rewarding Hizbollah's kindapping policies, but maybe we didn't expect everyone else to get in on the action? Plus, the fact that we are willing to trade live prisoners for dead bodies means there isn't even an incentive for terrorists not to kill Israelis after the kidnap them.

I have been trying to figure out why we have lost our deterrent power, and I think it may be that we still think of ourselves as golus Jews - the weak Jews who are always subject to the whim of the host Gentiles. We tell the Gentiles that we would give them anything, if only they will live in peace with us, or return our prisoners. The only reason the surrounding Arabs do what they do is because they know our reaction. Somehow, we need to gain the upper hand.

For example: Israel is militarily much stronger than Syria, even if they do have WMD from Iraq. Why do we need to give them land in return for them promising not to attack us? Surely the Syrians fear an Israeli military strike. Why not offer peace with Syria on even terms: we won't attack you if you don't attack us? Why not pass a law in Knesset forbidding the return of any land captured in a defensive war? Then, Syria can't attack us without fearing that they will lose Lebanon, or Damascus. As it stands, they are already a terrorist state. But if they attack Israel and lose land, Israel will be pressured to give it back. So, Israel has more to lose in such a war. Let's turn the tables.

The Arabs know that if they kidnap an Israeli soldier, we will release many prisoners. Let's announce that we will only agree to even swaps for prisoners, we will not make any exchanges for bodies, and we will retaliate against any organization taking prisoners with offensive strikes. Somehow, we need to gain the upper hand, so that future negotiations will not lead to even more bloodshed.






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